NEPSE मा के चल्दैछ भित्रभित्र?

Apr 17, 2026
422

📊 SARBAGUNA MARKET UPDATE (नेप्से विश्लेषण)

आजको कारोबारमा NEPSE Index 2,838.40 (+5.36 | +0.18%) मा बन्द भएको देखिन्छ। बजार सामान्य हरियो भए पनि breadth weak (Decliners > Advancers) रहेकोले बजारमा मिश्रित मनोविज्ञान देखिएको छ।

🔍 आजको बजारको मुख्य झलक

📈 Index: 2838.40 (+0.18%)
💰 Turnover: रु 7.46 अर्ब
📊 Total Transactions: 96,573
🔼 Advanced: 108
🔽 Declined: 150
⚖️ Unchanged: 12

➡️ Decliners बढी हुनु भनेको index artificially held / selective buying भएको संकेत हो।

📌 पछिल्ला दिनहरूमा NEPSE 2800–2870 रेंजमा घुमिरहेको छ, जसले बजार consolidation phase मा रहेको देखाउँछ

🚀 Top Gainers Insight

SKHEL, HFIN, PCIL, SIPD → 10% circuit
RLEL, KKHC → strong momentum
RSML, SOHL → mid-level breakout

👉 Conclusion:
Hydro + Finance + Small cap sector मा momentum देखिएको छ

🔻 Top Losers Insight

AHL, SKHL, ENL, NABBC → consistent selling
BNT → high value stock correction

👉 Conclusion:
Profit booking चलिरहेको छ (especially recently run stocks)

🔥 Turnover / Volume Leaders

NHPC, SOHL, RIDI, RSML
Volume मा पनि NHPC, PRVU, HDHPC dominate

👉 Conclusion:
Hydropower sector = market driver अहिले

📊 Technical Analysis (SARBAGUNA View)

🔹 Trend:

Short term: Sideways / Range Bound
Mid term: Bullish Continuation possible above 2850

📌 Pivot Levels (Important)

🔢 Calculated Levels:

Pivot (P): 2835
Resistance 1 (R1): 2855
Resistance 2 (R2): 2875
Support 1 (S1): 2815
Support 2 (S2): 2795

🎯 Trading Strategy (SARBAGUNA)

📈 Bullish Case:

2855 break ⇒ next target 2875 – 2900
Strong move expected if volume increases

📉 Bearish Case:

2815 break ⇒ fall towards 2795 – 2770
Weak breadth already warning sign

🧠 Market Psychology

Index हरियो 📗
Majority stocks रातो 📕

👉 यसलाई भनिन्छ: “Smart money selective buying”

➡️ Big players specific stocks (Hydro/High beta) मा active छन्
➡️ Retail confused phase मा छ

🔥 SARBAGUNA Conclusion

👉 बजार अहिले confusion zone + accumulation phase मा छ
👉 Clear trend आउन 2850 breakout वा 2815 breakdown आवश्यक छ

🧾 Final Verdict

📊 “Trend छैन, Range छ — Patience is Profit”

📊 SARBAGUNA – Smart Trading Starts Here
📈 Stock Market Training | Signals | Live Analysis
📲 WhatsApp Group Join गर्न: 9849290806 (Deep Thapa)
🚀 Learn • Trade • Grow