Big Move Incoming: भोलि कुन स्टक उड्ने?

Apr 22, 2026
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📊 NEPSE बजार अपडेट – SARBAGUNA विश्लेषण

आजको बजार सामान्य करेक्सनको अवस्थामा बन्द भएको छ। सूचक हल्का घटे पनि बजारको भित्री संरचना (internals) हेर्दा मिश्रित संकेत देखिएको छ।

🔍 बजारको अवस्था

NEPSE Index: 2804.17 🔻 -2.95 (-0.10%)
Intraday Range: 2762 – 2818
Turnover: ~7.81 अर्ब
Total Transactions: 1.21 लाख+
Advance / Decline: 121 / 138

👉 बजारमा selling pressure हल्का भए पनि panic छैन — consolidation phase जस्तो देखिन्छ।

📈 सेक्टर & स्टक मूभमेन्ट

Top Gainer: PCIL +15%
Top Loser: HFIN -10.75%
High Volume & Turnover: NHPC, SOHL, RSML

👉 Hydropower र Finance मा selective buying देखियो, जबकि banking stable रह्यो।

🧠 SARBAGUNA MARKET VIEW

आजको movement ले के देखाउँछ?

Market लगातार 2–3 दिन देखि correction मा छ
High level (2800+) मा profit booking भइरहेको छ
Last hour मा recovery → buyers अझै active छन्

👉 Conclusion:
Trend weak होइन, sideways consolidation हो।

📊 Pivot Levels (Next Trading Day)

🔹 NEPSE Index Pivot Analysis

Resistance 2 (R2): 2835
Resistance 1 (R1): 2818
Pivot: 2795
Support 1 (S1): 2765
Support 2 (S2): 2740

👉 Strategy:

2818 माथि breakout = bullish continuation
2765 तल break = deeper correction

⚡ Smart Money Insight

High turnover stocks = NHPC, SOHL → institutional interest
Top gainers mostly mid-cap → retail driven momentum
HFIN जस्ता stocks मा heavy selling → distribution signal

🧾 SARBAGUNA FINAL VERDICT

👉 बजार अहिले:

“Distribution + Consolidation Zone”

✔ Long-term: Still bullish structure
⚠ Short-term: Sideways / mild correction

💡 Trading Strategy (Sarbauguna Style)

Breakout trader → 2818 माथि wait
Swing trader → 2765–2790 zone accumulation
Risky trader → momentum stocks (PCIL type)

🔥 Closing Line:

“Market ma paisa trend bata bancha, guess bata hoina.”

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👉 “Market ma paisa trend bata bancha, ego bata hoina.”

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