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NEPSE Bounces Back After Tech Outage: Index Edges Up to 2,654 as Turnover Crosses Rs 7 Arba

The Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) benchmark index recorded a modest gain of 7.06 points to close in the green, signaling positive market sentiment and sustained investor interest. Total trading volume surpassed NPR 6 billion (6+ Arba) in turnover, with a total of 21,589,761 shares changing hands across participating listed companies, reflecting solid market liquidity and active retail and institutional participation throughout the session.

 

Market Breadth

  • Advanced : 138
  • Declined : 130
  • Unchanged 11

 

 

An A/D ratio above 1.0 indicates positive market breadth, showing that buyers maintained a slight edge over sellers in this session.

 

TOP GAINERS OVERVIWS

Symbol Close Price (NPR) Pt Change % Change Traded Volume (Qty) Total Turnover Estimated Index Impact
MSHL 606.00 +79.00 +14.99% 15,749 9,490,262.00 +0.82 Points
FMDBL 820.00 +59.00 +7.75% 30,434 23,529,320.30 +0.65 Points
MKJC 338.00 +18.00 +5.63% 113,194 38,605,295.10 +0.42 Points
MANDU 754.00 +38.80 +5.43% 19,936 14,788,364.20 +0.38 Points
EBLD85 1,160.00 +54.90 +4.97% 165 190,933.50 +0.05 Points

 

  • MKJC generated the highest turnover among top gainers (NPR 3.86 Crore) due to heavy trading volume (113,194 shares).

  • EBLD85 (Debenture) recorded lower turnover (NPR 1.9 Lakhs) despite a high unit price due to limited secondary market volume.

 

 

TOP LOSERS

 

Symbol Company / Description Close Price (NPR) Pt. Change % Change
SNORL Snow Rivers Limited 970.00 -87.00 -8.23%
NABBC Narayani Development Bank Limited 749.00 -56.00 -6.96%
BNL Bottlers Nepal Limited 13,829.90 -1,001.10 -6.75%
ILBS Infinity Laghubitta  Bittiya Sanstha Limited 1,004.90 -60.10 -5.64%
SHLB Shrijanshil Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited 1,315.90 -40.60 -2.99%

 

 

TOP TURNOVERS

Symbol % Change LTP (NPR) Turnover Market Contribution (%)
HATHY -2.16% 489.00 Rs. 44.40 Crore 6.30%
HDL +4.90% 1,284.00 Rs. 40.36 Crore 5.73%
GHL +4.48% 254.20 Rs. 22.15 Crore 3.14%
LEC +0.04% 260.00 Rs. 19.99 Crore 2.84%
KBL +0.44% 228.00 Rs. 18.28 Crore 2.59%

 

  • Top Contributor: HDL & NTC contributed the most positively  due to its high weighting and positive gain .

 

NEPSE Sub-Indices Performance & Technical Remarks

 

Sub Index Close Point Change % Change  Turnover Technical Remarks
Banking 

1,516.46

+5.29

+0.35%

Rs. 121.36 Cr

Steady Accumulation: Strong liquidity absorption (Rs. 121.36 Cr) with mild gain; stabilizing baseline support.

Development Bank 

5,519.32

+23.68

+0.43%

Rs. 31.18 Cr

Mild Bullish Continuation: Positive momentum driven by moderate buying interest.

Finance 

2,255.64

-22.78

-1.00%

Rs. 13.63 Cr

Short-Term Profit Booking: Moderate correction under light liquidity. (Note: Excludes source formatting anomaly).

Hotels And Tourism

7,232.77

+22.57

+0.31%

Rs. 10.37 Cr

Range-Bound Drift: Modest uptick on low relative trading volume.

HydroPower 

3,659.63

-5.45

-0.14%

Rs. 291.12 Cr

Highest Market Liquidity: Mass volume exchange (Rs. 291.12 Cr) with minor consolidation near resistance.

Investment

98.01

+0.47

+0.48%

Rs. 74.86 Cr

Institutional Interest: Healthy volume expansion supporting price rebound.

Life Insurance

12,047.44

+98.83

+0.82%

Rs. 20.56 Cr

Strong Sectoral Rally: Solid point gain pushing index past immediate hurdle.

Manufacturing & Processing

10,686.34

-26.32

-0.25%

Rs. 85.17 Cr

Minor Pullback: Small price retreat with sustained turnover. (Note: Corrected print misalignments).

Microfinance 

4,590.96

+22.05

+0.48%

Rs. 28.13 Cr

Steady Upside: Balanced accumulation across key constituent stocks.

Mutual Fund

19.61

-0.05

-0.30%

Rs. 3.92 Cr

Neutral Consolidation: Low volatility with minimal turnover activity.

Non Life Insurance

9,795.79

-2.39

-0.02%

Rs. 6.34 Cr

Flat / Doji Pattern: Indecision near moving average supports.

Others 

1,860.62

+24.97

+1.36%

Rs. 10.77 Cr

Top Gainer: Leading sectoral performance with strong percentage breakout.

Trading 

3,279.97

-30.89

-0.93%

Rs. 4.53 Cr

Laggard Sector: Profit-taking pressure on low institutional participation.

 

 

Technical Outlook: NEPSE Index

 

1. Trend & Price Structure Analysis

  • Primary Trend (Uptrend): The NEPSE Index is trading in a medium-term bullish structure, holding steadily above the 2,600 psychological support zone after consolidating near 2,645 – 2,650.

  • Moving Averages Alignment:

    • 20-day EMA: Acting as immediate dynamic trend support near 2,610–2,620.

    • 50-day & 200-day SMA: Positioned below the current spot price, confirming a sustained medium-to-long-term Golden Cross / Bullish Structure.

  • Market Breadth: Broad-based participation remains healthy across major sectors, with capital rotating between Hydropower, Banking, and Insurance sectors.

 

2. Technical Indicators

  • Relative Strength Index (RSI - 14): Hovering in the 55–62 range (Neutral to Mildly Bullish). It reflects steady buying pressure without crossing into overbought (>70) conditions, indicating room for further upside.

  • MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Operating above the zero line with line convergence. A decisive bullish crossover would validate momentum toward upper resistance targets.

  • Volume Analysis: System total daily turnover has stabilized around Rs. 5.3B – 6.7B. Sustained volume expansion above Rs. 7B+ will be necessary to execute a clean breakout above intermediate overhead resistance.

 

3. Key Levels to Watch

Level Type Price Range (Index Points) Technical Significance
Immediate Resistance 2,650 – 2,675 Major horizontal barrier and recent swing high zone.
Major Overhead Target 2,720 – 2,750 Key Fibonacci retracement / extension target upon breakout.
Immediate Support 2,610 – 2,625 Near the 20-day EMA & key intraday pivot area.
Critical Trend Support 2,540 – 2,560 Strong demand zone; breakdown invalidates the short-term bullish thesis.

 

 

For Education Purpose Only _Prepared By:  RICKY SINGH

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