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NEPSE Retracts 21 Points at 2640 Resistance: Healthy Correction or Impending Downtrend ?

The Nepal Stock Exchange (NEPSE) index experienced a pullback today, sliding 21.19 points after encountering resistance at the 2,640 mark. Despite the loss, market liquidity remained strong, with total turnover surpassing NPR 5.38 billion across 15.1 million shares traded.

Market Breadth

  • Advanced 42
  • Declined  225
  • Unchanged 12

 

Advance-Decline (A/D) Ratio: 0.19

(For every 1 advancing stock, approximately 5.36 stocks declined)

Market Breadth Metric Count Share (%) Ratio / Breakdown
Advancers 42 15.05% A/D Ratio: 0.19
Decliners 225 80.65% D/A Ratio: 5.36
Unchanged 12 4.30% Simplified Ratio (A:D:U): 14 : 75 : 4
Total Traded 279 100.00% Market Sentiment: Weak

Top Gainers Breakdown

Narayani Development Bank Limited (NABBC) led the session's gainers, rising 6.37% to close at NPR 745.00.

Symbol Company Name LTP (NPR) Point Change % Change
NABBC Narayani Development Bank Limited 745.00 +44.60 +6.37%
HDHPC Himal Dolakha Hydropower Company Limited 228.00 +11.50 +5.31%
MEPDL Mount Everest Power Development Limited 703.00 +29.50 +4.38%
KMCDB Kalika Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited 854.00 +35.50 +4.34%
BNL Bottlers Nepal (Balaju) Limited 14,000.00 +485.00 +3.59%

Top Losers Breakdown

NMB Hybrid Fund L-2 (NMBHF2) led the session's decliners, dropping 7.73% to close at NPR 8.47.

Symbol Company / Scheme Name Close Price (NPR) Pt. Change % Change
NMBHF2 NMB Hybrid Fund L-2 8.47 -0.71 -7.73%
RLEL River Falls Power Limited 784.90 -43.10 -5.21%
NWCL Nepal Warehousing Company Limited 590.10 -30.80 -4.96%
SMFBS Swabhimaan Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited 1,375.00 -66.00 -4.58%
SINDU Sindhu Bikash Bank Limited 430.00 -20.00 -4.44%

Top Turnover Breakdown

Himal Dolakha Hydropower Company Limited (HDHPC) recorded the highest liquidity of the day, commanding over NPR 37.95 crore in total turnover and closing at NPR 228.00.

Symbol Company Name Turnover (NPR) LTP (NPR) Pt. Change
HDHPC Himal Dolakha Hydropower Company Limited 379,564,213.90 228.00 11.50
RSML Reliance Spinning Mills Limited 251,011,786.60 2,810.00 -69.00
SHIVM Shivam Cements Limited 165,709,479.50 676.30 -4.70
SOHL Solu Hydropower Limited 150,792,021.80 653.00 -1.00
LEC Liberty Energy Company Limited 146,832,688.30 251.00 -8.40

 

Sectoral Performance & Remarks

All 13 sub-indices closed in negative territory today, reflecting a broad-based market correction. The HydroPower Index saw the highest trading turnover (NPR 2.68 Billion) and the steepest percentage drop (-1.04%), followed closely by Life Insurance (-1.01%).

Sub Index Close Point Change % Change Turnover (NPR) Market Remark
HydroPower 3,611.01 -37.97 -1.04% 2,687,155,030.20 Top Traded Sector: Led market liquidity (~50% of total turnover) but suffered the steepest percentage drop.
Life Insurance 11,642.71 -118.90 -1.01% 97,782,304.70 Significant Drag: High point loss with notable profit-booking across institutional funds.
Non Life Insurance 9,745.87 -89.97 -0.91% 72,326,298.10 Under Pressure: Continued mild distribution with minimal buying support.
Others Index 1,838.53 -16.26 -0.87% 84,949,702.80 Moderate Decline: Shadowed broader index movement without strong counter-trend buying.
Hotels And Tourism 7,124.96 -61.69 -0.85% 106,351,738.50 Soft Retrenchment: Sector cooled down following recent upward rallies.
Microfinance 4,509.90 -37.73 -0.82% 198,540,728.60 Widespread Loss: Small-cap stocks pulled back as retail sentiment turned cautious.
Investment 97.62 -0.80 -0.81% 316,845,994.90 Steady Volume: Active trading volume failed to prevent minor value erosion.
Finance 2,262.82 -17.50 -0.76% 134,640,637.00 Consolidation: Range-bound movement near intermediate support zones.
Development Bank 5,452.40 -40.13 -0.73% 256,581,952.80 Mixed Trading: Gains in individual scrips (e.g., NABBC) were offset by sector-wide losses.
Trading Index 3,275.42 -23.21 -0.70% 7,730,344.60 Low Liquidity: Thinly traded sector with wider bid-ask spreads.
Mutual Fund 19.51 -0.12 -0.64% 14,323,872.35 NAV Adjustments: Tracked underlying equity declines; high unit sell-offs in select funds (NMBHF2).
Banking SubIndex 1,478.89 -9.46 -0.63% 670,575,158.90 Heavyweight Support: Subdued point loss helped cushion the benchmark index from a deeper crash.
Manufacturing & Processing 10,620.39 -58.92 -0.55% 691,566,333.80 Relative Outperformer: Most resilient sector of the day, supported by high turnover in cement stocks (SHIVM).

 

Technical Outlook & Strategy

  • Market Structure: The daily structure remains in a broader consolidation phase between 2,580 and 2,640. A clean breakdown below 2,580 could trigger further correction toward 2,540, while a confirmed close above 2,650 is required to re-establish bullish continuation.

  • Trader Action Plan:

    1. Avoid aggressive fresh long entries until the 2,640 resistance is reclaimed with expanding volume.

    2. Monitor price behavior near the 2,580–2,600 support zone for potential reversal or stabilization signals.

    3. Maintain tight stop-loss levels on high-beta sectors like Hydropower and Microfinance, which exhibit elevated downside momentum.

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